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American Oriental: A Short Squeeze Waiting to Happen
December 31, 2008 at
Posted by Thomas Catino


Enthusiasm has waned for anything China related, but American Oriental Bioengineering Inc. (AOB) should have gotten more of a pop on yesterday’s news that Roth Capital initiated coverage of the company with a “buy” rating and a $10 price target, highlighting its "cash-rich" nature. That stood out right away because a look at the financial statements shows that at the end of last quarter, the biopharma company had $220 million cash. The strong balance sheet, even with having $115 million in notes used to finance recent acquisitions, is worth noting in a time of tight credit and especially because this small cap has a market cap of under half a billion, just a bit above enterprise value. Earnings results have also been quite strong too with net income for the third quarter increasing by 38% to $16.5 million or $0.21 per diluted share, compared to $11.9 million or $0.16 a share in the prior year period. At the same time those results were reported in November, management raised its 2008 revenue outlook to $250 million while reiterating full year net income of $62 million – implying that the stock trades at a single digit multiple, a pretty low valuation. On the call, management noted some other positive tidbits - their recent acquisitions of Nuo Hua and GHK should soon begin to have a positive impact on earnings, the stock buyback plan still has in excess of $45 million just waiting to be used, and hinted at the benefits of upcoming Chinese healthcare reform. With 7.57 million shares short, or about 12.3% of the publicly traded float of 61.38 million, American Oriental is a short squeeze is just waiting to happen.
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